Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001103 0.001253 0.001404 0.001566 0.001737 0.001909 0.002096
2025-08-24 0.000825 0.001034 0.001253 0.001496 0.001757 0.002028 0.002327
2025-08-31 0.000651 0.000904 0.001178 0.001491 0.001835 0.002197 0.002603
2025-09-07 0.000530 0.000816 0.001139 0.001516 0.001937 0.002387 0.002898
2025-09-14 0.000396 0.000700 0.001055 0.001483 0.001970 0.002497 0.003102
2025-09-21 0.000319 0.000640 0.001031 0.001512 0.002067 0.002674 0.003377
2025-09-28 0.000272 0.000613 0.001041 0.001577 0.002203 0.002893 0.003695
2025-10-05 0.000205 0.000549 0.001001 0.001579 0.002263 0.003023 0.003913
2025-10-12 0.000159 0.000507 0.000983 0.001604 0.002348 0.003180 0.004158
2025-10-19 0.000105 0.000442 0.000931 0.001585 0.002377 0.003271 0.004328
2025-10-26 0.000068 0.000393 0.000896 0.001582 0.002423 0.003380 0.004515
2025-11-02 0.000034 0.000338 0.000846 0.001557 0.002442 0.003454 0.004663
2025-11-09 0.000005 0.000269 0.000784 0.001534 0.002483 0.003581 0.004900
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000182 0.000682 0.001453 0.002453 0.003626 0.005047
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000134 0.000634 0.001441 0.002507 0.003768 0.005306
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000104 0.000610 0.001460 0.002599 0.003955 0.005617
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000063 0.000550 0.001425 0.002619 0.004056 0.005827
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000045 0.000535 0.001451 0.002718 0.004250 0.006143
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000038 0.000545 0.001514 0.002863 0.004499 0.006524
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000020 0.000515 0.001515 0.002926 0.004647 0.006786
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000011 0.000502 0.001540 0.003018 0.004831 0.007089
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000001 0.000462 0.001520 0.003051 0.004940 0.007302
2026-01-18 NaN NaN 0.000435 0.001517 0.003104 0.005073 0.007543